The publication "Vedomosti" panic notes lower, which is not surprising. According to the most POF, in December 2008, the president's approval rating stood at 51 percent, and in February 2008, shortly before the presidential election, it stood at 44. Why not compare the current "fall" up to 50 percent with similar data last year?
This pattern is data to support Vladimir Putin. By mid-February POF recorded his ranking drop to 3 per cent, to 66 (compared to 69 in early February). However, in December 2008 Prime Minister's rating was 65 percent.
A careful examination of statistical data, no catastrophe is not observed. On the contrary, there is a short-term fluctuations, but the overall situation is characterized by positive dynamics. But the ripples from the publication of "Vedomosti" went. For part of the Internet users, ranging over the eyes of news headlines, formed quite definite information picture of the day: "ratings are falling.
Spree in Russia - another favorite topic of information battle. We are scared 'default through the autumn, winter scared. I do not intend to stop. "The probability of default in Russia reached a maximum of 10 years", - said Tuesday "Lenta.Ru" referring to The Financial Times.
From the material itself, however, that "the cost of insurance against default (credit default swaps, CDS) for the countries of Eastern Europe has risen dramatically in recent days. Insurance for Russia reached 770 basis points ... This indicator is a historical maximum of the moment when it began to be issued CDS on sovereign debt, that is about 10 years. "
Credit default swaps (or credit derivative) - this is a very valuable kind of paper. Banks issuing credit, are trying to protect themselves by requiring collateral. This is normal procedure. But the bank can protect themselves further, proposing a completely stranger for a monthly salary to commit themselves "if anything" to repay your loan. This treaty is called "credit derivative". Under normal circumstances, the chance to ruin a major creditor is minimal, the money he would return, so that it looks correct.
The Financial Times, which cites "Lenta.Ru", said the increase is the cost of these securities, the banks have contracts with third parties. They have nothing to do with Russia. However, the economic news is made quite obvious conclusion about the tenfold increase in the probability of default for our country.
Careful reading of the text, and having understood what it was about, experienced reader will shrug his shoulders. In The bulk of readers, he stumbled on a message of "defaulted", "osadochek left.
Lyskov Dmitry
http://www.pravda.ru/politics/author...829-novosty-0#