Vladimir, I never encountered counterfeits Nesterova, at least decent auctions. All the same, when the artist is alive, with him usually can be contacted and determine the origin of work.
Regarding prices, the upward trend in the Nesterov started three years ago, and I do not think that soon things will change, because a good artist and below a certain level usually does not drop.
1988 - is still Rossiyanka.
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