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Старый 03.01.2009, 13:10 Язык оригинала: Русский       #14
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Сообщение от qwerty Посмотреть сообщение
the loss of the oligarchs who buy very expensive work, are, rather, virtual, factories, steamships left
At first I thought so too (the stock of habit: "There is not sold - not to lose"), but look what he wrote Igor Markin at the end of November:

"It's funny
There is a rule for gamblers
"money becomes necessary precisely when to sell shares can not"
in theory, I always knew
now learned from experience
being at its
yesterday sold its entire package of Russian shares, which he held at Troika Dialog
recording the loss exactly 80%"

We must not forget that the rich are living on credit, but when banks reduce their financial surface, have to sell assets.

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Сообщение от Admin Посмотреть сообщение
If there is a correction in prices outside of auction sales, then sooner or later it must occur in auction sales. /.../But I do not think that the auctioneers so easy to give up and meekly go to the decline in prices. They have this absolutely not interested, so that the auctions will be held until the last. But the galleries and private owners nowhere to go, because they often do not have such accumulated reserves, as in auctions, and in order to survive, they have to sell, albeit at reduced prices. Let's see what happens next.
Your analysis makes me some skepticism on the following reasons:
  • in October leading auction houses have announced that at the spring auctions of evaluation will be 20-30%lower - they attributed the high ratings fall session so that all arrangements have been made before the crisis - and that the policy of guaranteed prices sunk into oblivion.
  • auction of contemporary art, to be held at Sotheby's in February, has already moved in June - if they could cancel them altogether for a few years, I think they would do it.
  • in the above leading auction houses began seriously reducing staff.

Of course, I do not think that all sectors will be affected equally. The old art and the art of the first half of the twentieth century, most likely not be affected, perhaps, increase the selectivity of buyers, but the prices, I think, especially not fall. As for modern art, in my opinion, there will be just a sea of blood (I'm not talking about Russian art, about which I generally agree with qwerty).



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