Цитата:
Сообщение от LCR
Here is an interview with T. Erman, in my opinion, quite ridiculous, that is, I believe that his analysis of the market completely untenable.
have affected the art market crisis?
FC - Yes, the downward correction is very strong. And lightning. Now the Art Market reacts with almost the same speed as the financial markets. Therefore Artprice developed indicator of confidence subscribers, AMCI. And we note that this indicator falls upon a few hours after the collapse of the indicators or the NASDAQ Dow Jones.
significantly diminished if the market of art?
FC - With regard to the works, the price does not exceed 15,000 euros, a special risk of falling prices is not because these products are bought mostly just because they like them. In contrast, in the trenches between 15000 and 50000 euro correction will be very severe, from -40 to -50%. Prices for works from 50 to 100000 euro should fall by about 30%. The market is falling vertically, but this drop is caused by excessive growth in the recent past. But at the top of the trench, at a cost of more than 100000 euros, decrease will be minimal, as the product of such a level literally sag under tazhestyu any diplomas, certificates and signatures. These heavyweights of the art market nearly lost in the price. But keep in mind that they represent only 0.1%of the market.
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Generally speaking, such an outlook on our forum is still being done in October (now hard to find in any place, can help Admin). The logic is simple: the loss of the oligarchs who buy very expensive work, are, rather, virtual, factories, steamships left, oil will not become, worthless stock, but will end the crisis, and stock prices will return to the previous level. But the middle class, bought the work in the average range, suffered real: downsizing and reduction of wages is not virtual, so the prices in this range should prosest.
Another thing is that the highest level, surrounded by diplomas and certificates - it's not for Russia, where such things simply outstanding units and, more recently, millions have paid for everything, including the very average quality of work such as Aivazovsky, Luba, Deineka, etc. That is, it seems to me to be very correct, and this work should go back to the middle range, the place where they are.
As an index developed at artprice, it is, of course, nonsense: it simply reflects the people's attitude to the crisis, in fact gleaned from the media and has no relationship to the art market. But the indexes developed on this site, I think, cause much more confidence.
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Цитата:
Сообщение от SergeiSK
There is another segment of the art market, which is not mentioned, although sales in its more than half of all sales of art throughout the world. This is a private sale, which are little publicized, but their volume is much more auction or gallery-. But statistics are no such sales. And will never be. But some data on prices is quite well known. Of course only in Russia. Over the last two weeks of communication with sellers can say that prices have fallen by 20%-40%. And this is the first thirty names in Russian painting and the top twenty in Ukrainian. That is, that the spring-summer sold for $ 100,000 can now be bought for 60000 $ -80000 $. And there are quite specific and realistic proposals. And not isolated.
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I still do not see it: all that I proposed to privately or falls on the auction is almost pre-crisis money. Maybe we have different views on the first of thirty names in Russian painting?