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Fruits of the Georgian war.

Запись от Кирилл Сызранский размещена 11.08.2009 в 12:33

of the victor countries.
Vitaly Portnikov.

The anniversary of the Russo-Georgian conflict in Moscow and Tbilisi to show similar words - statements that the opposing side has long been preparing for war and continues to prepare for its repetition. For this weary promotional husk is difficult to discern important - the consequences of the war to Moscow and Tbilisi.
At first glance, everything is clear. Russia won, Georgia lost. Moscow has not only helped the Ossetians and Abkhazians to maintain the status quo, but also contributed to the increment granted independence - under their control transferred some territory before the war, subordinate to Tbilisi. But the restoration of the territorial integrity of Georgia itself postponed indefinitely, if not forever. Mikhail Saakashvili was adequately punished, and with it the whole Georgian people - cheer, do not vote for NATO.

But the question arises: what next? Stunned predictable victory in the conflict - and how could it be otherwise, who believed that in frontal crashes Georgia to defeat Russia? - Moscow has decided to go for broke in the literal sense of the word "punish" not only Georgia, but the Americans who have dared to recognize Kosovo's independence, and their allies.

Recognition of Kosovo's independence - certainly controversial decision. But only by recognizing the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, Russia has found itself in a brilliant diplomatic isolation - a situation in Moscow last encounter except that during the Finnish War, when Stalin decided to establish a puppet government in Terioki Otto Kuusinen. The independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia a year admitted only the Government of Nicaragua, has refused, however, to establish diplomatic relations with the republics. And this reluctance to follow its lead, displayed almost all the allies of Russia, eloquently demonstrated - in fact, Russia has no allies, no.

The independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia is not recognized nor Belarus, which used to be regarded as a faithful follower of all the Kremlin's madness, or Armenia, which the authorities could at least try to exchange the recognition of Georgia's autonomous regions to the recognition of Karabakh's independence, nor the countries of Central Asia. In short, if Moscow wanted to come up with a decision, illustrating Russia's foreign policy of isolation and failure, it is better than the recognition of independence of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, they would not have been able to find.

Another impressive result was the triumph of the very corruption, which just a year ago, promised to fight the country's president, Dmitry Medvedev winning. The symbol of this corruption was precisely the restoration of South Ossetia. Just before the anniversary of the government of the republic was again replaced, and once again counting on the fact that the new prime minister will spend money on restoring the appointment and they will not disappear before the eyes of those living in the ruins of the residents. Of course, in Russia in general, so build and rebuild, but then in Russia. And here you can compare even with the pace of recovery in the Gori district on the other side of the cordon.

Of course, Saakashvili adversary and U.S. hireling, but need not to steal on the restoration of South Ossetia does not abolish it. And besides, there is no answer to the question that will make Moscow recognized for its republics, where economic crisis has put the issue squarely on the future financing of their existence. A good reason to think about the prospects of relations between Russia and the breakaway Georgian autonomies.

For the loser is the Georgian war has become rather a moment of truth, than the moment of defeat. It is always better time to get rid of illusions. Georgians were convinced that the question of the future of the territorial unity of the country has no military solution. What the president - no miracle worker, and not even a great statesman, but an ordinary civil servant, who tend to hover in the clouds and live their own, often unrealistic notions about their opportunities and possibilities of their small country.

Perhaps the Georgians eventually realize that to solve the problem of the future coexistence with Abkhazia and South Ossetia, they will be able only if the build attractive rich state. If such a state existed today, its citizens - despite all the national controversy - would be many residents of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. So Georgia has to aspire to, what to think, that changed. There are stories in the situation where the most dangerous country to be victorious.

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